초록
The objective of study is to evaluate highway capaicty estimation alternative and to develop capacity from statistical distribution of observed traffic flow. Speed-Volume relation is analyzed from vehicle's headway distribution eliminating the long headway by confidence intervals 99%, 95%, 90%. Capacity estimate alternatives were evaluated from 95% , 90%, 85% level of cummulative distribution of observed hourly traffic flow adjusted to confidence intervals. The result of investigation revealed that maximum hourly rate of flow is 2, 130pcu at confidence interval of 995, 2, 233pcu at 95%, 2, 315pcu at 90% respectively. Compared to the capacity of 2, 200pcu per hour per lane used in HCM and KHCM(Korea Highway Capacity Manual), capa챠y appears to correspond to confidence interval of 95%. Using the traffic flow rate at confidence interval of 95% the maximum hourly flow rate is 2, 187pcu at 95% of cummulative volume distribution, 2, 153pcu at 90%, 2, 215pcu at 85%. The study suggests that raional capacity esimation alternative is to take the 95% of cummulative distribution of observed hourly traffic flow at 95% confidence headway interval eliminating 5% long headway.(i.e. 95-95 rule)