Development of a New Numerical Analysis Method for Nodal Probabilistic Production Cost Simulation

각 부하지점별 확률론적 발전비용 산정을 위한 수치해석적 방법의 개발

  • 김홍식 (경상대 공대 전기공학과) ;
  • 문승필 (경상대 공대 전기공학과) ;
  • 최재석 (경상대 공대 전기·전자공학부) ;
  • 노대석 (한국기술대 공대 전기공학과) ;
  • 차준민 (대진대 공대 전기공학과)
  • Published : 2001.09.01

Abstract

This Paper illustrates a new numerical analysis method using a nodal effective load model for nodal probabilistic production cost simulation of the load point in a composite power system. The new effective load model includes capacities and uncertainties of generators as well as transmission lines. The CMELDC(composite power system effective load duration curve) based on the new effective load model at HLll(Hierarchical Level H) has been developed also. The CMELDC can be obtained from convolution integral processing of the outage capacity probabilistic distribution function of the fictitious generator and the original load duration curve given at the load point. It is expected that the new model for the CMELDC proposed in this study will provide some solutions to many problems based on nodal and decentralized operation and control of an electric power systems under competition environment in future. The CMELDC based on the new model at HLll will extend the application areas of nodal probabilistic production cost simulation, outage cost assessment and reliability evaluation etc. at load points. The characteristics and effectiveness of this new model are illustrated by a case study of MRBTS(Modified Roy Billinton Test System).

Keywords

References

  1. W.S. Read, W.K. Newman, I.J. Perez-Arriaga, H.Rudnick, M.R. Gent & A.J. Roman, 'Reliability in the New Market Structure (Part 1)' IEEE Power Engineering Review, December, 1999, p.4-14 https://doi.org/10.1109/MPER.1999.808165
  2. W.S. Read, W.K. Newman, I.J. Perez-Arriaga, H.Rudnick, M.R. Gent & A.J. Roman, 'Reliability in the New Market Structure (Part 2)' IEEE Power Engineering Review, January, 1999, p.10-16 https://doi.org/10.1109/MPER.2000.814650
  3. CEA, Industry Restructuring - New & Info: CEA connections online news, March 2000
  4. IMO, 'Participating in Ontario's New Competitive Electricity Market' Overview Report by IMO, November 1999
  5. Joseph Vardi and Benjamin Avi-Itzhak, Electric Energy Generation; Economics, Reliability and Rates: MIT, 1981
  6. X. Wang and J.R. McDonald, Modern Power System Planning: McGraw-Hill, 1994
  7. A.J. Wood and B.F. Wollenberg, Power Generation Operation and Control: John Wiley & Sons, 1984
  8. J.P. Stremel, R.T. Jenkins, R.A. Babb, and W.D. Bayless, 'Production Costing Using the Cumulant Method of Representing the Equivalent Load Curve,' IEEE Trans. on Power Apparatus and Systems, vol.PAS-99, no.5, pp.1947-1956, Sep./Oct. 1980 https://doi.org/10.1109/TPAS.1980.319819
  9. D.J. Levy and E.P. Kahn, 'Accuracy of the Edgeworth Expansion of LOLP Calculations in Small Power Systems,' IEEE Trans. on Power Apparatus and Systems , vol.PAS-101, no.4, pp.986-996, April 1982 https://doi.org/10.1109/TPAS.1982.317165
  10. G. Gross, N.V. Garapic and B. McNutt, 'The Mixture of Normals Approximation Technique for Equivalent Load Duration Curves' IEEE Trans. on Power Systems, vol.3, no.2, pp.368-374, May 1988 https://doi.org/10.1109/59.192886
  11. R.L. Sullivan, Power System Planning, McGraw-Hill, 1977
  12. Roy Billinton and Wenyuan Li, Reliability Assessment of Electric Power Systems Using Monte Carlo Methods : Plenum Press, 1994
  13. Roy Billinton and Ronald N. Allan, Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems, Plenum Press, 1984
  14. Roy Billinton and Easin Khan, 'A Security Based Approach to Composite Power System Reliability Evaluation', IEEE Trans. on Power Systems, vol.PS-7, no.1, pp.65-72, February 1992
  15. Roy Billinton and W. Zhang, 'Enhanced Adequacy Equivalent for Composite Power System Reliability Evaluation', IEE Proc. GTD, vol.143, no.5, pp.420-426, September 1996 https://doi.org/10.1049/ip-gtd:19960460
  16. Jaeseok Choi, Daeho Do, Seungpil Moon and Roy Billinton, 'Development of a Method of ELDC Conctruction in a Composite Power System', Proceedings of Large Engineering Systems Conference on Power System 99(LESCOPE99), pp. 189-194, Halifax, NS, Canada, June 20-22, 1999
  17. Jaeseok Choi, Seungpil Moon, Hongsik Kim, Byongjun Lee and Roy Billinton, 'Development of ELDC and Reliability Evaluation of Composite Power System Using Monte Carlo Method', Proceedings of IEEE PES SM2000 Conference, Seattle, WA, USA, July 16-20 2000
  18. 김 홍식, 임 채현, 최 재석, 이 순영, 차 준민, '규제완화된 전력시장 하에서의 전력계통 신뢰도 할당 방법에 관한 연구' 2000년 대한전기학회 하계학술대회 논문집, pp.394-396
  19. 차 준민, 김 홍식, 최 재석, 오 광해, '규제완화된 전력시장 하에서의 송전계통 신뢰도 평가방법의 개발' 2000년 대한전기학회 하계학술대회 논문집, pp.397-399
  20. 김 홍식, 문 승필, 최 재석, 노 대석, ' 각 부하지점별 확률론적 발전비용 산정을 위한 수치해석적 방법' 2001년 대한전기학회 전력기술부문회 춘계학술대회 논문집, pp.112-115