Journal of Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회지)

Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회)
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A Link Travel Time Estimation Algorithm Based on Point and Interval Detection Data over the National Highway Section

일반국도의 지점 및 구간검지기 자료의 융합을 통한 통행시간 추정 알고리즘 개발

  • Published : 2005.08.31
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Abstract

Up to now studies on the fusion of travel time from various detectors have been conducted based on the variance raito of the intermittent data mainly collected by GPS or probe vehicles. The fusion model based on the variance ratio of intermittent data is not suitable for the license plate recognition AVIs which can deal with vast amount of data. This study was carried out to develop the fusion model based on travel time acquired from the license plate recognition AVIs and the point detectors. In order to fuse travel time acquired from the point detectors and the license plate recognition AVIs, the optimized fusion model and the proportional fusion model were developed in this study. As a result of verification, the optimized fusion model showed the superior estimation performance. The optimized fusion model is the dynamic fusion ratio estimation model on real time base, which calculates fusion weights based on real time historic data and applies them to the current time period. The results of this study are expected to be used effectively for National Highway Traffic Management System to provide traffic information in the future. However, there should be further studies on the Proper distance for the establishment of the AVIs and the license plate matching rate according to the lanes for AVIs to be established.

현재까지 다양한 검지기로부터 추정되는 통행시간의 융합에 관한 연구는 주로 GPS, Probe 자료 등 간헐적인 자료에 기반하여 이루어져 왔다. 이러한 간헐적 자료의 분산비에 기초한 융합모형은 번호판 인식 AVI와 같이 다량의 자료 구득이 용이한 시스템에는 적합하지 않다. 따라서, 본 연구는 지점검지기와 번호판 인식 AVI를 기반으로 각각 산출한 통행시간의 융합모형을 개발하고자 수행되었다. 본 연구에서는 지점검지기와 번호판인식 AVI 통행시간의 융합을 위해 최적화 융합모형과 비례화 융합모형을 각각 개발하였다. 검증 결과, 최적화 융합모형이 가장 우수한 추정력을 보여주었다. 최적화 융합모형은 실시간 이력자료를 기반으로 융합 가중치를 산정하여 현재 시간대에 적용하는 실시간 차원의 동적 융합비 예측 모형이다. 본 연구결과는 향후 국도교통관리 및 정보제공시스템에 유용하게 적용될 것으로 기대된다. 그러나, 향후 AVI의 적정설치간격과 설치차로에 따른 매칭율을 고려한 보다 심도있는 연구를 필요로 한다.

Keywords

References

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