Abstract

This study provides a quantitative forecasting method to identify promising fusion technology and it also applies the method based on patent analysis to IT. This study defines fusion technology, promising technology, fusion index, promising index and promising fusion technology. From the analysis, this study found that the next generation computer network is the most promising in IT area. This result is consistent with the forecasts made by the interviews and discussion of experts.

Keywords

• Patent Analysis;
• Technology Forecast;
• Fusion Technology;
• Promising Technology;
• Fusion Index;
• Promising Index