Journal of Korea Planning Association (국토계획)

Korea Planning Association (대한국토도시계획학회)
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Modeling Future Urban Growth and Its Application: The Integrated Approach

도시성장모형의 개발과 활용 : 통합적 접근방법

Kim, Jae-lk;Hwang, Gook-Wung;Yeo, Chang-Hwan;Chung, Hyun-Wook
김재익;황국웅;여창환;정현욱

  • Published : 2007.04.30
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Abstract

The main purpose of this study is to integrated urban growth policy variables into urban growth prediction model. For this purpose this study focuses on three important aspects of urban development. First, it incorporates mathematical model and imaThe main source of attribute data was census data. The land use/cover data were extracted from many sources - satellite images(Landsat TM 5 imagery) and the basic statistical unit data provided by National Statistical Office of Korea and the land management information system data provided by the ministry of construction & transportation. Al data are stored in geographic information robability of 1ha grid cells is calculated by binary logit model. The size of land development was derived by sprawl indexes. Third, the model predicts future urban growth by the type of urban growth - infill growth, dispersed growth and a balanced growth. This study helps to reduce the social costs of urban growth policies by providing useful information on urban expansion, such as size and location of development.

Keywords

References

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