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Does performing high- or low-risk coronary artery bypass graft surgery bias the assessment of risk-adjusted mortality rates of hospitals?

관상동맥우회로술의 위험 수준이 병원내사망률 평가 결과에 미친 영향 분석

  • Lee, Kwang-Soo (Department of Hospital Management, College of Medicine, Eulji University) ;
  • Lee, Sang-Il (Department of Preventive Medicine, College of Medicine, University of Ulsan) ;
  • Lee, Jung-Soo (Forestry Sciences, Kwangwon University)
  • 이광수 (을지대학교 의과대학 의료경영학과) ;
  • 이상일 (울산대학교 의과대학 예방의학교실) ;
  • 이정수 (강원대학교 산림과학대학)
  • Published : 2007.09.30

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to analyze whether nonemergency, isolated coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery for high- or low-risk patients biases the assessment of the risk-adjusted mortality rates of hospitals. This study used 2002 National Health Insurance claims data for tertiary hospitals in Korea. The study sample consisted of 1,959 patients from 23 tertiary hospitals. The risk-adjustment model used the patients' biological, admission, and comorbidity data identified in the claims. The subjects were classified into high- and low-risk groups based on predicted surgical risk. The crude mortality rates and risk-adjusted mortality rates for low-risk, high-risk, and all patients in a hospital were compared based on the rank and the four intervals defined by quartile. Also, the crude mortality rates of the three groups were compared with their 95% confidence intervals of predicted mortality rates. The C-statistic (0.83) and Hosmer-Lemeshow test ($X^2$=11.47, p=0.18) indicated that the risk-adjustment model performed well. Presenting crude mortality rates with their 95% confidence intervals of predicted rates showed higher agreements among the three groups than using the rank or intervals of mortality rates defined by quartile in the hospital performance assessment. The crude mortality rates for the low-risk patients in 21 of the 23 hospitals were located on the same side of their 95% confidence intervals compared to that for all patients. High-risk patients and all patients differed at only one hospital. In conclusion, the impact of risk selection by hospital on the assessment results was the smallest when comparing the crude inpatient mortality rates of CABG patients with the 95% confidence intervals of predicted mortality rates. Given the increasing importance of quality improvements in Korean health policy, it will be necessary to use the appropriate method of releasing the hospital performance data to the public to minimize any unwanted impact such as risk-based hospital selection.

Keywords

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