Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology (한국환경복원기술학회지)

The Korea Society of Environmental Restoration Technology (한국환경복원기술학회)
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Vulnerability Assessment of Sub-Alpine Vegetations by Climate Change in Korea

한반도 지역의 기후변화에 의한 고산·아고산 식생 취약성 평가

  • Lee, Dong-Kun (Department of Landscape Architecture and Rural System Engineering, Seoul National University) ;
  • Kim, Jae-Uk (Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Seoul National University)
  • 이동근 (서울대학교 조경.지역시스템공학부) ;
  • 김재욱 (서울대학교 환경대학원)
  • Received : 2007.11.02
  • Accepted : 2007.12.17
  • Published : 2007.12.30
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Abstract

This study's objects are to predict distribution and to assess vulnerability of sub-alpine vegetations in the Korean peninsula for climate change using various climate models. This study validates relationship between sub-alpine vegetations and environmental factors using Pearson correlation analysis. Then, the future distribution of sub-alpine vegetations are predicted by a logistic regression. The major findings in this study are; First, spring mean temperature (March-May), total precipitation, elevation and warmth index are highly influencing factors to the distribution of sub-alpine vegetations. Second, the sub-alpine vegetations will be disappeared in South Korea and concentrated around Baekdu Mountain in North Korea. North Korea is predicted to have serious impact of climate change because temperature will be increased higher than in South Korea. The study findings concluded that the assessment of the future vulnerability of sub-alpine vegetations to climate change are significant.

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