Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning (농촌계획)

Korean Society of Rural Planning (한국농촌계획학회)
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A Probability Mapping for Land Cover Change Prediction using CLUE Model

토지피복변화 예측을 위한 CLUE 모델의 확률지도 생성

  • Oh, Yun-Gyeong (Research Institute for Agriculture and Life Science, Seoul Nat'l Univ.) ;
  • Choi, Jin-Yong (Dept. of Landscape Architecture and Rural Systems Engineering and Research Institute for Agriculture and Life Science, Seoul Nat'l Univ.) ;
  • Bae, Seung-Jong (Seoul Nat'l Univ.) ;
  • Yoo, Seung-Hwan (Research Institute for Agriculture and Life Science, Seoul Nat'l Univ.) ;
  • Lee, Sang-Hyun (Graduate School, Seoul Nat'l Univ.)
  • 오윤경 (서울대학교 농업생명과학연구원) ;
  • 최진용 (서울대학교 조경.지역시스템공학부 농업생명과학연구원) ;
  • 배승종 (서울대학교) ;
  • 유승환 (서울대학교 농업생명과학연구원) ;
  • 이상현 (서울대학교 대학원)
  • Received : 2010.05.18
  • Accepted : 2010.06.22
  • Published : 2010.06.30
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Abstract

Land cover and land use change data are important in many studies including climate change and hydrological studies. Although the various theories and models have been developed, it is difficult to identify the driving factors of the land use change because land use change is related to policy options and natural and socio-economic conditions. This study is to attempt to simulate the land cover change using the CLUE model based on a statistical analysis of land-use change. CLUE model has dynamic modeling tools from the competition among land use change in between driving force and land use, so that this model depends on statistical relations between land use change and driving factors. In this study, Yongin, Icheon and Anseong were selected for the study areas, and binary logistic regression and factor analysis were performed verifying with ROC curve. Land cover probability map was also prepared to compare with the land cover data and higher probability areas are well matched with the present land cover demonstrating CLUE model applicability.

Keywords

References

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