Developing the Traffic Accident Severity Models by Vehicle Type

차량유형에 따른 교통사고심각도 분석모형 개발

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwan (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Park, Byung-Ho (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University)
  • Received : 2009.12.27
  • Accepted : 2010.04.28
  • Published : 2010.06.30

Abstract

This study deals with the accident models of arterial link sections by vehicle type. The objectives are to analyze the characteristics of accidents, and to develop the models by type. In pursuing the above, this study uses the data of 414 accidents occurred on 24 major arterial links in 2007. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the number of accidents is analyzed to account for about 47% in passenger car, 15% in SUV and 10% in trucks. Second, 3 Poisson regression models which are all statistically significant are developed using passenger car, SUV and truck as dependant variables. Finally, AADT and the number of traffic islands as common variables, and the number of pedestrian crossings, lanes, connecting roads, intersections(4-Leg), rate of medians and the number of bus stops as specific variables of the models are selected.

Keywords

References

  1. 강승림, 박창호, "고속도로 선형조건과 GIS 기반교통사고 위험도지수 분석(호남.영동.중부고속도로를 중심으로)", 대한교통학회지, 제21권, 제1호, pp. 21-40, 2003.
  2. 김성환, "도로선형 관련 교통사고특성 및 사고예측모형에 관한 연구", 단국대학교 석사학위 논문, 2005.
  3. 박병호, 박길수, 인병철, "4지 신로교차로 차종별 사고모형(청주시를사례로)", 한국도로학회 논문집, 제10권, 제4호, pp. 161-170, 2008.
  4. 박준태, 이수범, 이수일, 김장욱, "고속도로 선형요소를 고려한 복합선형구간 사고예측 모형 개발', 대한교통학회 제 56회 학술대회논문집, pp. 171-178, 2007.
  5. 이승교, "복합선형을 고려한 사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구", 한양대학교 석사학위논문, 2008.
  6. 한상진, 김근정, "도로종류별 교통사고 추세분석 및 시계열 분석모형 개발", 한국도로학회 논문집, 제9권, 제3호, pp. 1-12, 2007.
  7. Donnell, E.T. and J.M. Mason, Jr, "Predicting the Severity of Median-Related Crashes in Pennsylvania by Using Logistic Regression", TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., Transportation Research Record : Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1897, pp. 55-63, 2004.
  8. K. Fitzpatrick, L. Elefteriadou, D.W. Harwood, J.M.Collins, J. McFadden, I.B. Anderson, R.A. Krammes, N. Irizarry, K.D. Parma, K.M. Bauer and K. Pasetti, "Speed Prediction for Two-Lane Rural Highways", FHWA-RD-99-171, 2000b.
  9. Xuedong Yan, Essam Radwan and Mohamed AbdelAty, "Characteristics of Rear-end Accidents at Signalized Intersections Using Multiple Logistic Regression Model", Accident Analysis & Prevention 37, pp. 35-46, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2004.02.004