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Application of Satellite Image to Evaluate UN-REDD Registration Potential of North Korea : a Case Study of Mt.Geumgang

북한 지역 UN-REDD 등록 타당성 분석을 위한 위성영상 활용 : 금강산을 사례로

  • Choi, Jin Ho (Department of Spatial Information, Kyungpook National University) ;
  • Um, Jung Sup (Department of Geography, Kyungpook National University)
  • Received : 2012.10.18
  • Accepted : 2012.12.03
  • Published : 2012.12.30

Abstract

Discussion on North Korea as UN-REDD (Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation in developing countries) project target continues with a view to preventing deforestation and to securing CER(certified emission reduction) for South Korea. However, due to North Korea's political shutdown, it is hard to acquire information required for the REDD project registration. This research intends to acquire objective data using satellite images in the Mt. Geumgang. More than 20% of entire forested area were disappeared during the past two decades mainly due to conversion into agricultural farming land. Further, it is expected that persistent deforestation will go on. The reduction potential of the carbon emission is estimated as approximately 617,000 tCO2/year~663.000 tCO2/year. Thus, Mt. Geumgang is considered as realistic REDD target, which is attractive to South Korea, given that the obligation to reduce greenhouse gas emission is likely to be imposed upon the country. Further, political and social benefits due to reduced military conflict make Mt. Geumgang as UN-REDD project target invaluable.

북한의 산림 파괴를 막는 동시에 남한의 탄소배출권 확보라는 측면에서 북한 지역을 UN-REDD 사업 대상지로 등록하고자 하는 논의가 지속되고 있다. 그러나 북한이라는 정치적 폐쇄성으로 인해 REDD 등록 과정에서 필요한 정보를 취득하기 어려운 것이 현실이다. 본 연구는 북한 지역을 REDD에 등록하는 과정에서 객관적 자료 확보에 대한 문제점을 극복하고자 위성영상을 활용하여 금강산에 대해 기초자료를 제시하였다. 그 결과 금강산 지역은 20년 동안 산림의 20% 이상이 훼손되었고, 산림 훼손의 원인이 대부분 농지 전용에 기인하고 있어 향후에도 지속적인 파괴가 이루어질 것으로 나타났다. 금강산 지역의 잠재적 탄소 배출 감축량은 519,000 tCO2/year-663.000 tCO2/year에 이를 것으로 나타나, 남한의 입장에서 향후 온실가스 배출감축 의무를 부담하게 될 경우, 매력적인 REDD 대상지로 확인되었으며, 정치적, 사회적 공편익을 고려할 경우 이에 대한 가치는 더 클 것으로 추정된다.

Keywords

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