Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems (한국지능시스템학회논문지)

Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems (한국지능시스템학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

A Quantitative Collision Probability Analysis in Port Waterway

항만수로의 정량적인 충돌확률 분석

  • 정중식 (목포해양대학교 국제수송과학부) ;
  • 김광일 (목포지방해양항만청 완도해양사무소) ;
  • 박계각 (목포해양대학교 국제수송과학부)
  • Received : 2012.04.20
  • Accepted : 2012.06.01
  • Published : 2012.06.25
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

In terms of the maritime accident prevention, risk analysis at targeted warterways is important for planning safety waterways. This paper analyzes the maritime accidents probability in the Mokpo waterways, South Korea, based on the IWRAP(IALA Waterway Risk Assessment) of the quantitative accident probability tool. Vessel collision probability cate is calculated by vessels meeting direction, using IWRAP. This paper contribute to advance improvement of vessel traffic service by VTS sector providing vessel fairway risk data.

해상에서 위험성평가는 해양사고예방의 관점에서 안전한 항만수로를 설계하는데 중요한 역할을 하고 있다. 본 연구는 IALA에서 권고하는 정량적인 충돌확률분석방법인 IWRAP(IALA Waterway Risk Assessment)에 기초를 두고 목포항 진입수로의 충돌위험성을 분석하였다. 과거 AIS 및 레이더의 기록 데이터를 IWRAP 평가도구에 적용함으로써 선박의 조우상태별 충돌위험 확률을 계산하였다. 항로의 구간별로 위험도를 제공함으로써, VTS에서 섹터 관제의 관점에서 항로구간별로 해상교통의 특징과 개선책을 세우는데 기여할 것으로 사료된다.

Keywords

References

  1. Kwang Il Kim, Gyei-Kark Park, Jung-Sik Jeong, "Analysis marine accident probability in Mokpo waterways," International Journal of Navigation and Port Research, Vol. 35, No .9, pp. 729-733, Dec. 2011. https://doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2011.35.9.729
  2. IALA-AISM, IALA Risk Management Tool for Port Ristricted Waterways Ed.2, IALA Recommendation O-134, May 2009.
  3. Peter Friis-Hansen, Basic Modelling Principles for Prediction of Collision and Grounding Frequencies, IWRAP Mk II Rev.4, Work Document, 2008.
  4. Dae-Won Kim, Jin-Soo Park, Young-Soo Park, "Comparision Analysis between the IWRAP and the ES Model in Ulsan Waterway," Journal of Navigation and Prot Research, Vol. 35, No. 4, pp .281-287, 2011. https://doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2011.35.4.281
  5. Fujii Y, Yamanouchi H, Mizuki N., "Some factors affecting the frequency of accidents in marine traffic," Journal of Navigation, pp. 239-247, 1974.
  6. Macduff T., The probability of vessel collisions, Ocean Industry, pp. 144-148, 1974.

Cited by

  1. Prediction Table for Marine Traffic for Vessel Traffic Service Based on Cognitive Work Analysis vol.13, pp.4, 2013, https://doi.org/10.5391/IJFIS.2013.13.4.315
  2. A Study on the Development of Ship's Passage Risk Assessment Simulator vol.23, pp.3, 2013, https://doi.org/10.5391/JKIIS.2013.23.3.220
  3. Assessment of External Force Acting on Ship Using Big Data in Maritime Traffic vol.23, pp.5, 2013, https://doi.org/10.5391/JKIIS.2013.23.5.379
  4. Pattern Recognition of Ship Navigational Data Using Support Vector Machine vol.15, pp.4, 2015, https://doi.org/10.5391/IJFIS.2015.15.4.268
  5. Development of a Collision Risk Assessment System for Optimum Safe Route vol.24, pp.6, 2018, https://doi.org/10.7837/kosomes.2018.24.6.670