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Estimation of Extreme Sea Levels with Consideration of Tide and Monsoon by Using EST at the East Coast

조석과 계절풍을 고려한 EST에 의한 동해연안의 극치해면 산정

  • 강주환 (목포대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 김양선 (목포대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 박선중 ((주)혜인이엔씨 기술연구소) ;
  • 심재설 (한국해양연구원 기후변화연안재해연구부)
  • Received : 2012.04.30
  • Accepted : 2012.06.12
  • Published : 2012.06.29

Abstract

EST has been applied to the East Coast to estimate extreme sea levels. Surge heights induced by 51 typhoons which have occurred last 60 years were calculated by ADCIRC model. The training set which is consist of surge heights by both typhoon and monsoon was constructed. The maximum surge height of the year excluding the one by typhoon is considered to be the surge height by monsoon. High/low tide conditions and spring/neap tide conditions were considered for constructing input vectors of typhoon and monsoon, respectively. The annual tide is also considered in response vectors for each case. The result is in accord with Jeong et al. (2008), which implies validity of the present study.

극치해면 추정을 위해 EST기법을 동해연안에 적용하였다. 과거 60년간 발생한 TY급 태풍 51개에 의한 해일고를 ADCIRC모형으로 계산하여 트레이닝세트에 포함하였고, 태풍을 제외한 매년 발생하는 최대해일고를 계절풍에 의한 것으로 간주하여 계절풍에 따른 해일고도 응답벡터로 설정하였다. 조위조건을 입력벡터에 포함시켜 태풍시에는 고 저조 조건을 포함시켰으며 계절풍시에는 대 소조 조건을 입력벡터에 반영하였다. 이때 두 경우 모두 연주조를 감안하여 응답벡터를 작성하였다. 적용결과를 기존연구와 비교한 결과 정 등(2008)의 결과와 거의 일치하고 있어 본 방법의 적합성을 입증할 수 있었다.

Keywords

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