Journal of Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회지)

Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회)
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A Study on the Development of Marine Traffic Risk Model for Mariners

선박운항자 해상교통위험도 모형 개발에 대한 연구

  • Heo, Tae-Young (Department of Information and Statistics, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Park, Young-Soo (Training Center of Ship Operation, Korea Maritime University) ;
  • Kim, Jong-Sung (Training Center of Ship Operation, Korea Maritime University)
  • 허태영 (충북대학교 정보통계학과) ;
  • 박영수 (한국해양대학교 운항훈련원) ;
  • 김종성 (한국해양대학교 운항훈련원)
  • Received : 2012.04.24
  • Accepted : 2012.08.29
  • Published : 2012.10.31
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Abstract

Although Korea's coastal areas increasingly experience marine accident due to frequent ship encounters, increased vessel traffic and large vessel, there is a no specific model to evaluate the navigating vessel's risk for the given situation. The maritime transport environmental assessment is necessary due to the amended marine traffic law. However, marine safety diagnosis is now evaluated by foreign models. In this paper, therefore, we suggest a domestic model catering to and reflecting the characteristics of Korea's costal areas as well as those of vessel navigator's risk. We can evaluate subjective risks using this model, and can establish the model output as maritime risk exposure assessment system. We have performed analyses of variance and multiple comparison to identify the factor affecting subjective risks. As a result, measurable subjective risks of maritime traffic accident based on our suggested model can be expressed using the maritime risk exposure assessment system with geographic information system.

최근 우리나라 연안 해역에서는 선박 간의 빈번한 조우 상황, 선박 교통량 증대 및 대형화로 인해 해양사고의 잠재 위험이 증가하고 있지만 이러한 통항 선박의 위험도를 평가할 수 있는 모형은 개발되어 있지 않는 실정이다. 또한 개정된 해상교통안전법에서는 해상교통 환경평가를 실시하도록 요구하고 있지만 이 진단 또한 외국평가모델에 의해 평가를 하고 있어 실제 우리나라 연안 해역 특성 및 선박운항자의 위험도 인식이 반영된 모델이 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 설문분석을 통해 선박운항자가 운항 중 처해 있는 상황에 대하여 선박운항자가 느끼는 주관적 위험도 인식에 대한 모형을 개발하고 해상위험도 표출시스템에 이식하기 위한 연구이다. 다양한 요인들에 대해 분산 분석과 다중비교 분석을 통해 주관적 위험도에 대한 요인들의 영향력을 통계적으로 확인하였다. 본 연구에서는 이와 같은 분석결과를 토대로 해상교통위험도를 측정할 수 있는 모형을 개발하고, 이를 통해 지리정보시스템 기반의 해상 위험도 표출 시스템에 적용하여 운항중인 선박에 대한 위험정도를 화면상에 표출하여 선박운항자들로 하여금 미리 위험을 회피하고자 하는데 활용될 수 있다.

Keywords

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