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Ruin probabilities in a risk process perturbed by diffusion with two types of claims

두 가지 유형의 보험청구가 있는 확산과정 리스크 모형의 파산확률

  • Won, Ho Jeong (Department of Statistics, Sookmyung Women's University) ;
  • Choi, Seung Kyoung (Department of Statistics, Sookmyung Women's University) ;
  • Lee, Eui Yong (Department of Statistics, Sookmyung Women's University)
  • 원호정 (숙명여자대학교 통계학과) ;
  • 최승경 (숙명여자대학교 통계학과) ;
  • 이의용 (숙명여자대학교 통계학과)
  • Received : 2012.10.22
  • Accepted : 2012.12.03
  • Published : 2013.01.31

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a continuous-time risk model where the surplus follows a diffusion process with positive drift while being subject to two types of claims. We assume that the sizes of both types of claims are exponentially distributed and that type I claims occur more frequently, however, their sizes are smaller than type II claims. We obtain the ruin probability that the level of the surplus becomes negative, by establishing an integro-differential equation for the ruin probability. We also obtain the ruin probabilities caused by each type of claim and the probability that the level of the surplus becomes negative naturally due to the diffusion process. Finally, we illustrate a numerical example to compare the impacts of two types of claim on the ruin probability of the surplus with that of the diffusion process in the risk model.

본 논문에서는 잉여금이 양의 추세모수를 갖는 확산과정을 따라 움직이고, 두 가지 유형의 보험청구가 있는 리스크 모형을 소개한다. 두 유형의 보험청구 금액은 서로 독립이고, 각각 지수분포를 따른다고 가정한다. 유형 I의 보험청구는 잦은 빈도로 발생하지만 청구 금액은 적고, 유형 II의 보험청구는 상대적으로 드물게 발생하지만 청구 금액이 많다고 가정한다. 적미분 방정식을 세워 잉여금이 없어지는 파산확률을 구하고, 각 유형에 의한 파산확률과 확산과정에 의해 자연적으로 파산이 이루어지는 확률을 함께 구한다. 또한 예제를 통해 두 유형의 보험청구와 확산과정이 전체 파산확률에 미치는 영향을 수치적으로 비교 분석한다.

Keywords

References

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