Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society

Korean Data Analysis Society (한국자료분석학회)
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A Study on Developing Business Life Table

기업생명표 작성에 관한 연구

  • Ryu, Jai Hong (Korea Institute of R&DB Human Resources Development) ;
  • Kim, Kee-Whan (Department of Informational statistics, Korea University Sejong Campus)
  • 유재홍 (연구개발인력교육원 교육기획실) ;
  • 김기환 (고려대학교 세종캠퍼스 과학기술대학 정보통계학과)
  • Published : 2013.02.28
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Abstract

The Life table that is quantifying human lifespan is important official statistic to develop effective policy for healthcare and welfare. Since the policy direction about business environment has strong influence on national competitiveness, making quantifying tools for business environment will be helpful to develop effective policies for that. In this study, we developed business life table using approximately 1,000,000 observations about business establishment and closure. We could not use same method applied to human life table to make the business life table, because, unlike humans, the possibility of business closure is decreased when the survival period of the business is increased. Therefore, we proposed indexes like 'business stationary lifespan' and 'survival rate during 40 years', and compiled the business life table using the indexes. The business life table was compiled yearly from 2004 to 2011. And from the tables, we found that the 'business stationary lifespan' similar to 'human average life expectancy' decreased continuously. In point of business lifespan, we evaluate that the business life table developed from this study reflected properly business environment and actualities facing business. And we expected that the business life table will do important role to develop policy for improving business environment.

인간의 수명을 대상으로 계량화된 지표인 생명표는 의료 복지 정책 개발에 근간이 되는 매우 중요한 국가통계이다. 한편 기업환경에 관한 정책은 국가경쟁력 제고에 큰 영향을 주므로 기업환경을 계량화하는 도구를 개발한다면 기업환경의 개선을 위한 효과적인 정책개발에 도움이 될 수 있을 것이다. 본 연구에서는 약 100만개 기업의 설립일과 폐업일 자료를 이용하여, 기업생명표를 개발하였다. 기업은 인간과 달리 설립 이후 생존기간이 늘어나면서 폐업이나 부도가 발생할 가능성이 낮아지므로 인간의 수명을 대상으로 하는 기존 생명표 작성방법으로는 기업의 수명을 설명하는 생명표를 작성할 수 없었다. 따라서 기업의 '안정수명'이나 '40년 생존가능성'과 같은 새로운 지표를 개발하여 인간의 생명표와 동일한 방법으로 해석할 수 있는 기업생명표를 작성하였다. 기업생명표는 2004~2011년에 걸쳐 연도별로 작성하였으며, 작성결과 이 기간 동안 인간의 평균수명과 유사한 개념인 기업의 안정수명은 지속적으로 줄어드는 것으로 나타나 기업환경이 계속 악화되는 것으로 나타났다. 기업수명이라는 관점에서, 본 연구에서 개발된 기업생명표는 기업환경의 현실과 변화를 잘 반영하는 것으로 평가되며 향후 기업 환경을 개선하는 정책개발에 중요한 역할을 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Keywords

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