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An Analysis of Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Damage Occurrence by Insect Pests and Disease

기후변화가 벼 병해충 피해면적 발생에 미치는 영향분석

  • Jeong, Hak-Kyun (Department of Resource & Environment Research, Korea Rural Economic Institute) ;
  • Kim, Chang-Gil (Department of Resource & Environment Research, Korea Rural Economic Institute) ;
  • Moon, Dong-Hyun (Department of Resource & Environment Research, Korea Rural Economic Institute)
  • 정학균 (한국농촌경제연구원 자원환경연구부) ;
  • 김창길 (한국농촌경제연구원 자원환경연구부) ;
  • 문동현 (한국농촌경제연구원 자원환경연구부)
  • Received : 2013.09.10
  • Accepted : 2014.01.16
  • Published : 2014.03.31

Abstract

BACKGROUND: It is known that impacts of climate change on damage occurrence by insect pests and diseases are increasing. The negative effects of climate change on production will threaten our food security. It is needed that on the basis of analysis of the impacts, proper strategies in response to climate change are developed. METHODS AND RESULTS: The objective of this paper is to estimate impacts of climate change on rice damage occurrence by insect pests and diseases, using the panal model which analyzes both cross-section data and time series data. The result of an analysis on impacts of climate change on rice damage occurrence by pest insect and disease showed that the damage occurrence by Rice leaf roller and Rice water weevil increased if temperature increased, and damage occurrence by Stripe, Sheath blight, and Leaf Blast increased if precipitation(or amount of sunshine) increased(or decreased). CONCLUSION: Adaptation strategies, supplying weather forecasting information by region, developing systematical strategies for prevention of damage occurrence by pest insect and disease, analyzing the factors of damage occurrence by unexpected pest insect and disease, enforcing international cooperation for prevention of damage occurrence are needed to minimize the impacts of damage occurrence on rice production.

Keywords

References

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