A Study on the Change and Predictive Value of Cataract Prevalence using Time Series Analysis

시계열 분석을 통한 백내장 유병률 변화와 예측치 연구

  • 예기훈 (백석대학교 안경광학과) ;
  • 이완석 (성덕대학교 안경광학과)
  • Received : 2014.04.04
  • Accepted : 2014.06.13
  • Published : 2014.06.30

Abstract

Purpose: We tried to inform the public of the risk of cataracts and the importance of preventive management through the prediction of changes in the prevalence of cataract. Methods: We have done a comparative analysis Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Report in the last five years from 2008 to 2012. Results: The prevalence of cataract by age group got increased according to their age increases and was 11.1% in 40-49 ages, 35.7% in 50-59 ages, 71.8% in 60-69 ages, and 94.2% in over 70 ages(p=0.00). Especially, for the male 50-59 ages, the prevalence has increased 13.0% from 35.7% in 2008 to 48.2% in 2012. When comparing dong and eup regions, it found that dong was 39.5% and eup was 51.5%(p=0.00). When comparing income group, low group was 43.1%, lower middle group was 42.9%, upper middle group was 41.6% and high group was 40.7%. Conclusions: We found a significant difference between men and women in the prevalence of cataract over 65 ages(p=0.02). However, the difference is gradually decreasing and it have particular relevance to rapid growth of cataract prevalence rate in men aged 50s.

목 적: 백내장 유병률 변화와 예측을 통해 백내장의 위험성과 관리 및 예방의 중요성을 알리고자 한다. 방 법: 2008년에서부터 2012년까지 최근 5년간 보건복지부 산하 질병관리본부가 시행하여 발표한 국민건강영양조사 자료를 통계 분석하였다. 결 과: 연령별 백내장의 유병률은 40-49세 11.1%, 50-59세 35.7%, 60-69세 71.8%, 그리고 70세 이상에서는 94.2%로 나이가 증가함에 따라 유병률이 증가하였으며(p=0.00), 특히 남성 50-59세 연령층의 경우 2008년 35.7%에서 2012년 48.2%로 5년 동안 13.0%의 백내장 유병률이 증가한 것으로 나타났다. 지역별백내장 유병률은 동 지역에서는 39.5%와 읍 지역에서는 51.1%로(p=0.00), 소득별 백내장의 유병률은 최하위 소득군 43.1%, 중하위 42.9%, 중상위 41.6% 그리고 최상위 40.7%를 각각 나타내었다. 결 론: 65세를 넘어가면 남성과 여성간의 백내장 유병률의 유의한 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다(p=0.02). 그러나 그 차이는 계속 줄어들고 있으며 그것은 특히 50대 남성 백내장 유병률의 가파른 증가와 연관이 있음을 알 수 있다.

Keywords

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