Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회논문지)

The Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회)
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A Study on the Development of Export Determinant Model for Laver of Producing District

김 산지 수출량 결정 모형 개발 연구

  • Choi, Se-Hyun (Department of Agricultural Economics, Pusan National University)
  • Received : 2015.09.18
  • Accepted : 2016.01.05
  • Published : 2016.01.31
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Abstract

The objective of this study was to develop an export determinant model for laver in the producing district. The annual and monthly amounts of laver products, local price, export price, and foreign exchange rate were included as explanatory variables. The estimation showed that the laver export is influenced more by the long term rather than short term product increase. In addition, as the foreign exchange rate and export price increase, the quantities exported decrease elastically. On the other hand, as the price in the local market increases, the quantities exported decrease non-elastically. Therefore, to enhance the laver exports, it is important to establish infrastructure for long term production increase, forecast and provide information on the export price and foreign exchange rate more accurately.

본 연구의 목적은 우리나라 김 산지 수출량 결정 모형을 개발하는데 있다. 모형의 설명변수에는 국내시장의 연도별, 월별 생산물량과 산지가격, 그리고 수출가격과 환율이 포함되었다. 추정 결과 김 수출은 단기적인 생산량의 증가 보다 장기적인 생산량의 증가에 더 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 환율이나 수출가격이 상승할 경우 수출량이 탄력적으로 반응하였다. 반면에 산지가격이 상승할 경우 김 수출은 감소하나, 비탄력적인 모습을 보였다. 따라서 김의 수출을 증가시키기 위해서는 중장기적인 생산량 증대를 위한 기반시설 확립, 수출가격이나 환율변동에 대한 보다 정확한 예측 및 관련 정보제공이 중요하다고 판단된다.

Keywords

References

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