Journal of Digital Convergence (디지털융복합연구)

The Society of Digital Policy and Management (한국디지털정책학회)
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Development of Prediction Model for Prevalence of Metabolic Syndrome Using Data Mining: Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Study

국민건강영양조사를 활용한 대사증후군 유병 예측모형 개발을 위한 융복합 연구: 데이터마이닝을 활용하여

  • Kim, Han-Kyoul (Department of Public Health Science, Graduate School BK21 Plus Program in Public Health Science, Korea University) ;
  • Choi, Keun-Ho (Korea Worker's Compensation & Welfare Service, Labor Welfare Research Institute, Research Department) ;
  • Lim, Sung-Won (School of Health Policy and Management, College of Health Science, Korea University) ;
  • Rhee, Hyun-Sill (Department of Public Health Science, Graduate School BK21 Plus Program in Public Health Science, Korea University)
  • 김한결 (고려대학교 대학원 보건과학과 BK21 플러스 인간생명-상호작용 융복합 사업단) ;
  • 최근호 (근로복지공단 근로복지연구원 조사연구부 통계분석2팀) ;
  • 임성원 (고려대학교 일반대학원 보건과학과) ;
  • 이현실 (고려대학교 대학원 보건과학과 BK21 플러스 인간생명-상호작용 융복합 사업단)
  • Received : 2016.01.01
  • Accepted : 2016.02.20
  • Published : 2016.02.28
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to investigate the attributes influencing the prevalence of metabolic syndrome and develop the prediction model for metabolic syndrome over 40-aged people from Korea Health and Nutrition Examination Study 2012. The researcher chose the attributes for prediction model through literature review. Also, we used the decision tree, logistic regression, artificial neural network of data mining algorithm through Weka 3.6. As results, social economic status factors of input attributes were ranked higher than health-related factors. Additionally, prediction model using decision tree algorithm showed finally the highest accuracy. This study suggests that, first of all, prevention and management of metabolic syndrome will be approached by aspect of social economic status and health-related factors. Also, decision tree algorithms known from other research are useful in the field of public health due to their usefulness of interpretation.

이 연구의 목적은 국민건강영양조사 2012년 자료 중 40세 이상 성인의 대사증후군 유병 여부를 예측에 영향을 미치는 변수를 확인하고 이를 예측하는 모형 개발하는데 있다. 선행연구를 통해 모델 생성에 필요한 투입변수를 선정하였다. 연구결과 투입변수 중 사회경제적 요인이 상위 순위에 해당하였으며, 건강행위 요인의 경우 하위 순위로 나타났다. 또한, 최종 예측모형은 의사결정나무 (Decision Tree)일 경우 90. 32%의 가장 높은 예측력을 나타내고 있었다. 이 연구의 결과는 다음과 같은 시사점을 나타낸다. 먼저, 대사증후군에 대한 예방 및 관리에 있어 건강행위에 대한 접근과 함께 사회경제적 요인에 대한 접근도 병행을 고려해야 한다. 또한, 의사결정나무 알고리즘의 경우 결과해석의 용이성이 있어 보건의료분야에서 많이 사용되며, 선행연구의 결과와 마찬가지로 높은 예측정확도를 나타내고 있다.

Keywords

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