Journal of Korea Planning Association (국토계획)

Korea Planning Association (대한국토도시계획학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Developing Indexes for Analyzing Severe Heat Hot Spot Under Climate Change

기후변화에 따른 폭염 관심지역(Hot spot) 평가 지표 개발 및 적용

  • Received : 2016.05.19
  • Accepted : 2016.07.11
  • Published : 2016.08.31
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

Climate change has accelerated due to global warming and the vulnerability of social and ecological systems continues to grow. Amongst the situation, risk assessment has played an important role in formulating adaptation plans. Therefore, in this study, hot spot areas that are the most exposed to climate change were analyzed. First of all, literature review and expert interviews were conducted to produce the indexes for hot spot analysis by using the GIS at the national level. This study focused on heat wave among the many types of climate hazard. The indexes were categorized into 3 categories: climate hazard, vulnerability and exposure. After selecting the indexes, standardized values and hot spot areas were diminished in present and long-term future (2050) by multiplying the hazard and vulnerability value and then overlaying the exposure value. hot spot areas were defined as high hazard, vulnerability and exposure. In this study, we focused on analyzing the hot spots by developing and using indexes that consider impacts of heat wave. In addition, we investigated hot spot shifts in the future and impact of variables. Finally, this study suggested the adaptation plans according to climate hazard. By taking these steps, policy implications and specific strategy directions were suggested, which can be used in preparing national risk management strategy.

Keywords

References

  1. 국립환경과학원, 2012. 지자체 기후변화 적응 세부시행계획 수립 지원을 위한 기후변화 부문별 취약성 지도, 서울. (National Institute of Environmental Research, 2012. Establishing Climate Change Adaptation Plans for Local, Seoul.)
  2. 김용진.강동화.안건혁, 2011. "기후변화에 따른 도시열섬현상 특성 변화와 도시 설계적 대안 모색에 관한 기초 연구", 한국도시설계학회지, 12(3) 5-14. (Kim Y-J et al., 2011. "Characteristics of Urban Heat-Island Phenomena caused by Climate Changes in Seoul, and Alternative Urban Design Approaches for their Improvements", Urban Design Institute of Korea, 12(3): 5-14.)
  3. 김윤정.이동근.서창완.류지은.채여라.백경혜.배치영, 2013. "산업단지의 입지적 요건을 고려한 기후변화 취약성 평가 -지자체 및 산업단지의 물리적,경제적 특성에 집중하여-", 한국환경영향평가학회, 22(6):627-637. (Kim, Y-J et al., 2013. "Vulnerability assessment on the location of industrial complex considering climate change -Focusing on physical and economic features of province,industrial complex-", Environmental Impact Assessment, 22(6): 627-637.) https://doi.org/10.14249/eia.2013.22.6.627
  4. 박윤형.김호.장원기.기용배.황보영.기모란 외, 2006. "기후변화에 의한 전염병 발생영향 통합관리체계 구축", 서울: 순천향대학교 건강증진기금사업지원단. (Park, Y-H et al., 2006. Build an epidemic caused by climate change impacts Integrated Management System, Seoul: Soon Chung Hyung University)
  5. 박종용.유지영.이민우.김태웅, 2012. "우리나라 가뭄 위험도 평가: 자료 기반 가뭄 위험도 지도 작성을 중심으로", 대한토목학회논문집, 32(4): 203-211. (Park, J-Y et al., 2012. "Assessment of Drought Risk in Korea: Focused on Data-based Drought Risk Map", Korea Society of Civil Engineers, 32(4): 203-211.)
  6. 손민수.박지영.김홍석, 2013. "서울시 도시환경의 홍수 위험도 평가". 서울도시연구, 14(4): 127-140. (Son, M-S et al., 2013. "Urban Environmental Risk-Evaluating Flooding Risk Indices of Seoul-", Seoul Research Institute, 14(4): 127-140.)
  7. 신호성.김동진, 2008. 기후변화와 전염병 질병부담, 서울: 한국보건사회연구회. (Shin, H-S and Kim D-J, 2008. Climate change and infectious disease burden, Seoul: Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs.)
  8. 심우배, 2013. 도시의 기후변화 재해 취약성 분석 발전방안 연구, 경기: 국토연구원 (Sim, W-B, 2013. A Study on Improving the Methods To analyze Urban Disaster Vulnerability due to Climate Change, Gyeonggi: Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements)
  9. 유가영.김인애, 2008. 기후변화 취약성 평가지표의 개발 및 도입방안, 서울: 한국환경정책.평가연구원. (Yoo, G-Y, 2008. Introducing evaluation indexes for Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment, Seoul: Korean Environment Institute)
  10. 하종식.정휘철.이정호.김동현.최지혜, 2014. 기후변화 폭염 대응을 위한 중장기적 적응대책 수립 연구. 서울: 한국환경정책평가연구원 (Ha, J-S et al., 2014. A Study on Establishment and Management of a Long-term Heatwave Plan addressing climate change. Seoul: Korean Environment Institute)
  11. Aerts, J. C. J. H., and W. J. W. Botzen. 2011. "Climate change impacts on pricing long-term flood insurance: A comprehensive study for the Netherlands". Global Environmental Change, 21: 1045-1060. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.04.005
  12. Bowering, L. et al. 2010. Assessment of climate change risk to municipal infrastructure: City of London. Western.
  13. Bowler et al. 2010. "Urban greening to cool towns and cities: A systematic review of the empirical evidence". Landscape and Urban Planning, 97(3): 147-155. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2010.05.006
  14. Dickson et al. 2012. Urban Risk Assessments: Understanding Disaster and Climate Risk in Cities, Washington D.C.: The World Bank.
  15. IPCC. 2013. Climate Change 2013. The Physical Science Basis, New York: Cambridge University Press.
  16. IPCC. 2014. Climate Change 2014 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. IPCC WG II. USA:Campridege University Press
  17. IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 pp. USA: Cambridge University Press
  18. Kalnay, E., and M. Cai. 2003. "Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate", Nature, 423(6939): 528-531. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01675
  19. Lawrence, J. et al. 2013. "Exploring climate change uncertainities to support adaptive management of changing flood-risk", Environmental Science & Policy, 33: 133-142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2013.05.008
  20. Morsch, A. 2010. A Climate Change Vulnerability and Risk Assessment for the City of Atlanta, Georgia. Master's Degree Dissertation, Duke University.
  21. Revi, A. 2008. "Climate change risk: An adaptation and mitigation agenda for Indian cities", Environment & Urbanization, 20(1): 207-229. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956247808089157
  22. Smith, N., and A. Leiserowitz. 2012. "The rise of global warming skepticism: Exploring affective image associations in the United States over time", Risk Analysis, 32(6): 1021-1032. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01801.x
  23. Taylor, A. L. et al. 2014. "Public perception of climate risk and adaptation in the UK: A review of the literature", Climate Risk Management, 4-5: 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2014.09.001
  24. http://www.kma.go.kr/