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Development for the function of Wind wave Damage Estimation at the Western Coastal Zone based on Disaster Statistics

재해통계기반 서해 연안지역의 풍랑피해예측함수 개발

  • Choo, Tai Ho (Dept. of Environment and civil Engineering, Pusan National University) ;
  • Kwak, Kil Sin (Dept. of Environment and civil Engineering, Pusan National University) ;
  • Ahn, Si Hyung (Dept. of Environment and civil Engineering, Pusan National University) ;
  • Yang, Da Un (Dept. of Environment and civil Engineering, Pusan National University) ;
  • Son, Jong Keun (Dept. of Environment and civil Engineering, Pusan National University)
  • 추태호 (부산대학교 사회환경시스템공학부) ;
  • 곽길신 (부산대학교 사회환경시스템공학부) ;
  • 안시형 (부산대학교 사회환경시스템공학부) ;
  • 양다운 (부산대학교 사회환경시스템공학부) ;
  • 손종근 (부산대학교 사회환경시스템공학부)
  • Received : 2016.10.11
  • Accepted : 2017.02.03
  • Published : 2017.02.28

Abstract

The frequency and scale of natural disasters due to the abnormal climate phenomena caused by global warming have being increasing all over the world. Various natural disasters, such as typhoons, earthquakes, floods, heavy rain, drought, sweltering heat, wind waves, tsunamis and so on, can cause damage to human life. Especially, the damage caused by natural disasters such as the Earthquake of Japan, hurricane Katrina in the United States, typhoon Maemi and so on, have been enormous. At this stage, it is difficult to estimate the scale of damage due to (future) natural disasters and cope with them. However, if we could predict the scale of damage at the disaster response level, the damage could be reduced by responding to them promptly. In the present study, therefore, among the many types of natural disaster, we developed a function to estimate the damage due to wind waves caused by sea winds and waves. We collected the damage records from the Disaster Report ('91~'14) published by the Ministry of Public Safety and Security about wind waves and typhoons in the western coastal zone and, in order to reflect the inflation rate, we converted the amount of damage each year into the equivalent amount in 2014. Finally, the meteorological data, such as the wave height, wind speed, tide level, wave direction, wave period and so on, were collected from the KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) and KHOA (Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency)'s web sites, for the periods when wind wave and typhoon damage occurred. After that, the function used to estimate the wind wave damage was developed by reflecting the regional characteristics for the 9 areas of the western coastal zone.

전 세계적으로 지구온난화에 의한 이상기후현상으로 자연재해의 발생빈도와 규모가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 태풍, 지진, 홍수, 폭우, 가뭄, 폭염, 풍랑, 쓰나미 등과 같은 다양한 자연재해는 현재까지 인간생활에 피해를 주고 있다. 특히, 일본의 대지진, 미국의 허리케인 카트리나, 한국의 태풍 매미 등 세계적으로 자연재해에 의한 피해는 막대하다. 현 단계에서 자연 재해로 인한 피해규모를 정확히 예측하고, 그에 대처하는 것은어려운 실정이다. 그러나 재해대응 차원에서 피해 규모를 예측 할 수 있다면 신속하게 대응하여 피해를 저감할 수 있다고 판단된다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 여러 가지 자연재해 중 해풍과 파랑에 의해 발생하는 풍랑에 관한 피해예측함수를 개발하였다. 서해 연안지역을 대상으로 국민안전처에서 발간하는 재해연 보('91~'14)의 풍랑 및 태풍피해 이력을 수집하였으며, 물가상승률을 반영하기 위해 2014년 기준으로 피해액을 환산하였다. 또한, 풍랑 및 태풍피해가 발생했을 때 기상청 및 국립해양조사원 홈페이지에서 파고, 풍속, 조위, 파향, 파주기 등의 자료를 수집하였다. 최종적으로, 연안의 지역특성을 반영하여 서해안의 9개 지역의 풍랑 피해예측함수를 개발하였다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

Supported by : 국민안전처

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