DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Development of Multi-hazard Fragility Surface for Liquefaction of Levee Considering Earthquake Magnitude and Water Level

수위와 지진을 고려한 제방의 액상화에 대한 복합재해 취약도 곡면 작성

  • Hwang, Ji-Min (Dept. of Civil, Safety, and Environmental Engrg., Hankyong National Univ.) ;
  • Cho, Sung-Eun (Dept. of Civil, Safety, and Environmental Engrg. & Construction Engrg. Research Institute, Hankyong National Univ.)
  • 황지민 (한경대학교 토목안전환경공학과) ;
  • 조성은 (한경대학교 토목안전환경공학과)
  • Received : 2018.04.03
  • Accepted : 2018.05.31
  • Published : 2018.06.30

Abstract

Soil liquefaction is one of the types of major seismic damage. Soil liquefaction is a phenomenon that can cause enormous human and economic damages, and it must be examined before designing geotechnical structures. In this study, we proposed a practical method of developing a multi-hazard fragility surface for liquefaction of levee considering earthquake magnitude and water level. Limit state for liquefaction of levee was defined by liquefaction potential index (LPI), which is frequently used to assess the liquefaction susceptibility of soils. In order to consider the uncertainty of soil properties, Monte Carlo Simulation based probabilistic analysis was performed. Based on the analysis results, a 3D fragility surface representing the probability of failure by soil liquefaction as a function of the ground motion and water level has been established. The prepared multi-hazard fragility surface can be used to evaluate the safety of levees against liquefaction and to assess the risk in earthquake and flood prone areas.

지반의 액상화는 지진 피해의 대표적인 형태 중 하나이다. 이는 막대한 인적 경제적 피해를 줄 수 있는 현상으로, 지반구조물의 설계 전 필수적으로 검토해야 하는 대상이다. 본 연구에서는 하천 제방을 대상으로 임의의 지진 규모와 수위에서 액상화에 대한 실용적인 복합재해 취약도 곡면 작성법을 제시하였다. 지반의 파괴 정도를 나타내는 액상화 가능 지수(LPI)로 제방의 액상화에 대한 한계상태를 정의하였다. 지반 물성치의 불확실성을 고려하기 위해 Monte Carlo Simulation 기반의 확률론적 해석을 수행하였고, 해석 결과를 바탕으로 임의 수준의 수위와 지진 규모에 대하여 액상화에 의한 파괴확률을 나타내는 3차원의 취약도 곡면을 작성하였다. 작성된 복합재해 취약도 곡면은 홍수 및 지진에 대한 제방의 안전성 평가와 취약지역에 대한 위험도 평가에 사용될 수 있다.

Keywords

References

  1. 해양수산부 (1999), 항만 및 어항시설의 내진설계표준서.
  2. Cetin, K.O., Kiureghian, A.D., and Seed, R.B. (2002), "Probabilistic Models for the Initiation of Seismic Soil Liquefaction", Structural Safety, Vol.24, No.1, pp.67-82. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-4730(02)00036-X
  3. Dobry, R., Ladd, R.S., Yokel, F.Y., Chung, R.M., and Powell, D. (1982), "Prediction of Pore Water Pressure Buildup and Liquefaction of Sands during Earthquakes by the Cyclic Strain Method", NBS Build Science Series 138, National Bureau of Standards, Gaithersburg, MD.
  4. Gutierrez, M., Duncan, J.M., Woods, C., and Eddy, M. (2003), Development of a Simplified Reliability Based Method for Liquefaction Evaluation, Final Technical Report, USGS Grant No. 02HQGR0058, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA 24061.
  5. Ha, I.S., Moon, I.J., Yun, J.W., and Han, J.T. (2017), "Examination of Applicability of Liquefaction Potential Index to Seismic Vulnerability Evaluation of the Korean River Levees", Journal of the Korean Geo-Environmental Society, Vol.18, No.4, pp.31-40.
  6. Heo, J. (2010), Variability of Cyclic Stress Ratio in Liquefaction Reliability Analysis, Ph. D. Thesis, Seoul National University.
  7. Hynes, M.E. and Olsen, R.S. (1999), "Influence of Confining Stress on Liquefaction Resistance", Proceedings International Workshop on Physics and Mechanics of Soil Liquefaction, Balkema, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, pp.145-152.
  8. Idriss, I.M. and Sun, Joshep I. (1992), "User's Manual for SHAKE91: A Computer Program for Conducting Equivalent Linear Seismic Response Analyses of Horizontally Layered Soil Deposits", Center for Geotechnical modeling Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, University of California.
  9. Iwasaki, T., Tatsuoka, K., Tokida, F., and Yasuda, S. (1978), "A Practical Method for Assessing Soil Liquefaction Potential Based on Case Studies at Various Sites in Japan", Proceedings of 2nd International Conference on Microzonation, National Science Foundation UNESCO, San Francisco, CA, Vol.2, pp.885-896.
  10. Iwasaki, T., Tokida, K., and Tatsuoka, F. (1981), "Soil Liquefaction Potential Evaluation with Use of the Simplified Procedure", Proceedings of First International Conference on Recent Advances in Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering and Soil Dynamics, St. Louis, Missouri, pp.210-214.
  11. Jha, S.K. and Suzuki, K. (2009), "Reliability Analysis of Soil Liquefaction Based on Standard Penetration Test", Computers and Geotechnics, Vol.36, No.4, pp.589-596. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2008.10.004
  12. Juang, C.H., Ching, J., Luo, Z., and Ku, C.S. (2012), "New Models for Probability of Liquefaction Using Standard Penetration Tests Based on an Updated Database of Case Histories", Engineering Geology, Vol.133-134, pp.85-93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2012.02.015
  13. Kim, S.I., Park, I.J., and Choi, J.S. (2000), "A Study on the Assesment of Liquefaction Potential in Korea", Journal of the Korean Society of Civil Engineers, Vol.20, No.2, pp.129-139.
  14. Kwak, M.J., Ku, T.J., and Choi, J.S. (2015), "Development of Mapping Method for Liquefaction Hazard in Moderate Seismic Region Considering the Uncertainty of Big Site Investigation Data", Journal of the Korean Geo-Environmental Society, Vol.16, No.1, pp.17-27.
  15. Law, K.T., Cao, Y.L., and He, G.N. (1990), "An Energy Approach for Assessing Seismic Liquefaction Potential", Canadian Geotechnical Journal, Vol.27, No.3, pp.320-329. https://doi.org/10.1139/t90-043
  16. Liao, S.C., Veneziano, D., and Whitman, R.V. (1988), "Regression Models for Evaluating Liquefaction Probability", Journal of Geo-technical Engineering, ASCE, Vol.114, No.4, pp.389-409.
  17. Otake, Y., Honjo, Y., Hiramatsu, Y., Mase, M., and Yoshida, I. (2014), "Reliability Analysis of Long River Dike Against Liquefaction Failure", Second International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management (ICVRAM) and the Sixth International Symposium on Uncertainty, Modeling, and Analysis (ISUMA), ASCE, pp.2409-2418.
  18. Park, N.S. and Cho, S.E. (2017), "Development of Fragility Curves for Seismic Stability Evaluation of Cut-slopes", Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society, Vol.33, No.7, pp.29-41. https://doi.org/10.7843/KGS.2017.33.7.29
  19. Phoon, K.K., Kulhawy, F.H., and Grigoriu, M.D. (1995), "Reliability-Based Design of Foundations for Transmission Line Structures", EPRI TR-105000, Palo Alto, Electric Power Research Institute, Available online at EPRI.COM.
  20. Seed, H.B. (1979), "Soil Liquefaction and Cyclic Mobility Evaluation for Level Ground During Earthquakes", Journal of Geotechnical Engineering Division, ASCE, Vol.105, No.2, pp.201-255.
  21. Seed, H.B. and Idriss, I.M. (1971), "Simplified Procedure for Evaluating Soil Liquefaction Potential", Journal of the Soil Mechanics and Foundation Division, Vol.97, No.9, pp.249-1273.
  22. Seed, H.B. and Idriss, I.M. (1982), "Ground Motions and Soil Liquefaction During Earthquakes", Earthquake Engineering Research Institute Monograph, Oakland, Calif.
  23. Seo, M.W., Sun, C.G., and Oh, M.H. (2009), "LPI-based Assessment of Liquefaction Potential on the West Coastal Region of Korea", Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea, Vol.13, No.4, pp.1-13. https://doi.org/10.5000/EESK.2009.13.4.001
  24. Sun, C.C., Cho, C.S., Son, M., and Shin, J.S. (2013), "Correlations Between Shear Wave Velocity and In-Situ Penetration Test Results for Korean Soil Deposits", Pure and Applied Geophysics, Vol.170, No.3, pp.271-281. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-012-0516-2
  25. Toprak, S., Holzer, T.L., Bennett, M.J., and Tinsley, J.C. (1999), "CPT- and SPT-based Probabilistic Assessment of Liquefaction Potential", Proceedings of Seventh US Japan Workshop on Earthquake Resistant Design of Lifeline Facilities and Counter-measures Against Liquefaction, Washington: Seattle.
  26. Tyagunov, S., Vorogushyn, S., Jimenez, C.M., Parolai, S., and Fleming, K. (2017), "Multi-hazard Fragility Analysis for Fluvial Earthen Dikes in Earthquake and Flood Prone Areas", Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2017-287.
  27. Yi, J.H., Kwon, O.S., and Park, W.S. (2006), "Evaluation of Liquefaction Potential for Soil Using Probabilistic Approaches", Journal of the Korean Society of Civil Engineers, Vol.26, No.5, pp.313-322.
  28. Youd, T.L. and Idriss, I.M., (2001), "Liquefaction Resistance of Soils: Summary Report From the 1996 NCEER and 1998 NCEER/NSF Workshop on Evaluation of Liquefaction Resistance of Soils" Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering, ASCE, Vol.127, No.4, pp.297-313. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1090-0241(2001)127:4(297)
  29. Youd, T.L. and Noble, S.K. (1997), "Liquefaction Criteria Based on Statistical and Probabilistic Analyses", Proceeding of the NCEER Workshop on Evaluation of Liquefaction Resistance of Soils, Nat. Ctr. for Earthquake Engrg. Res., State Univ. of New York at Buffalo, pp.201-215.