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Study for Prediction System of Learning Achievements of Cyber University Students using Deep Learning based on Autoencoder

오토인코더에 기반한 딥러닝을 이용한 사이버대학교 학생의 학업 성취도 예측 분석 시스템 연구

  • Lee, Hyun-Jin (Division of ICT Engineering, Korea Soongsil Cyber University)
  • 이현진 (숭실사이버대학교 ICT공학부)
  • Received : 2018.05.25
  • Accepted : 2018.06.25
  • Published : 2018.06.30

Abstract

In this paper, we have studied a data analysis method by deep learning to predict learning achievements based on accumulated data in cyber university learning management system. By predicting learner's academic achievement, it can be used as a tool to enhance learner's learning and improve the quality of education. In order to improve the accuracy of prediction of learning achievements, the autoencoder based attendance prediction method is developed to improve the prediction performance and deep learning algorithm with ongoing evaluation metrics and predicted attendance are used to predict the final score. In order to verify the prediction results of the proposed method, the final grade was predicted by using the evaluation factor attendance data of the learning process. The experimental result showed that we can predict the learning achievements in the middle of semester.

본 논문에서는 사이버대학교 학습관리시스템에 누적된 데이터를 기반으로 학습 성과를 예측하기 위하여 딥러닝에 기반한 데이터 분석 방법을 연구하였다. 학습자의 학업 성취도를 예측하면, 학습자의 학습을 촉진하여 교육의 질을 높일 수 있는 도구로 활용될 수 있다. 학습 성과의 예측의 정확도를 향상시키기 위하여 오토인코더에 기반하여 한학기 출결 상황을 예측하고, 학기 진행 중인 평가 요소들과 결합하여 딥러닝으로 학습하여 최종 예측의 정확도를 높였다. 제안하는 예측 방법을 검증하기 위하여 학습 진행 과정의 출결데이터의 예측과 평가요소 데이터를 활용하여 최종학습 성취도를 예측하였다. 실험을 통하여 학기 진행중에 학습자의 성취도를 예측할 수 있는 것을 보였다.

Keywords

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