DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Evaluation of North Pacific Intermediate Water Simulated by HadGEM2-AO

HadGEM2-AO의 북태평양 중층수 모의 성능 평가

  • Min, Hong Sik (Ocean Circulation and Climate Research Center, KIOST) ;
  • Yim, Bo Young (Department of Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, College of Science and Technology Hanyang University)
  • 민홍식 (한국해양과학기술원 해양순환기후연구센터) ;
  • 임보영 (한양대학교 과학기술대학 해양융합과학과)
  • Received : 2015.11.11
  • Accepted : 2015.12.10
  • Published : 2015.12.30

Abstract

We analyzed the North Pacific Intermediate Water (NPIW) that was simulated in 25 coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) using historical and Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario experiments of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), focusing on the evaluation of the performance of HadGEM2-AO. A large inter-model diversity in salinity, density, and depth of the NPIW exists even though the multi-model ensemble mean (MME) is comparable to observations. It was found that the depth of the NPIW tends to be deeper in the models in which the NPIW is relatively saltier. HadGEM2-AO simulates the lightest NPIW having the lowest salinity at shallower depth, compared with other CGCMs. Future projections of the NPIW show that the temperature of the NPIW increases, but the density decreases in all CMIP5 models. It was shown that the salinity of the NPIW decreases in most models and the decrease tends to be larger in models simulating the lighter NPIW. The HadGEM2-AO projects moderate changes in the temperature and density of the NPIW out of the CMIP5 models.

Keywords

References

  1. 이재호, 백희정, 조천호 (2013) HadGEM2-AO를 이용한 연직기온 분포와 대류권계면 높이 변화 미래전망. 대기 23(4):367-375 Lee J, Baek H-J, Cho CH (2013) Vertical distribution of temperature and tropopause height changes in future projections using HadGEM2-AO climate model. Atmos 23(4):367-375 (in Korean) https://doi.org/10.14191/Atmos.2013.23.4.367
  2. 위지은, 문병권, 김기영, 이조한 (2014) HadGEM2-AORCP8.5 모의에서 나타난 지구온난화 멈춤. 한국지구과학회지 35(4):249-258 Wie J, Moon B-K, Kim K-Y, Lee J (2014) The global warming hiatus simulated in HadGEM2-AO based on RCP8.5. J Korean Earth Sci Soc 35(4):249-258 (in Korean) https://doi.org/10.5467/JKESS.2014.35.4.249
  3. 김문현, 강현석, 이조한, 백희정, 조천호 (2013) 기후모델(HadGEM2-AO)의 대표농도경로(RCP) 시나리오에 따른 21세기 말 육지 물순환 및 대륙별 하천유출량 변화 추정. 대기 23(4):425-441 Kim M-H, Kang H-S, Lee J, Baek H-J, Cho CH (2013) Estimates of the water cycle and river discharge change over the global land at the end of 21st century based on RCP scenarios of HadGEM2-AO climate model. Atmos 23(4):425-441 (in Korean) https://doi.org/10.14191/ATMOS.2013.23.4.425
  4. Baek H-J, Lee J, Lee H-S, Hyun YK, Cho CH, Kwon W-T, Marzin C, Gan S-Y, Kim M-J, Choi D-H, Lee J, Lee J, Boo KO, Kang H-S, Byun Y-H (2013) Climate change in the 21st century simulated by HadGEM2-AO under representative concentration pathways. Asia-Pac J Atmos Sci 49(5):603-618. doi:10.1007/s13143-013-0053-7
  5. Good SA, Martin MJ, Rayner NA (2013) EN4: quality controlled ocean temperature and salinity profiles and monthly objective analyses with uncertainty estimates. J Geophys Res 118(12):6704-6716. doi:10.1002/jgrc.20467
  6. Martin GM, Levine RC (2012) The influence of dynamic vegetation on the present-day simulation and future projections of the South Asian summer monsoon in the HadGEM2 family. Earth Syst Dynam 3:245-261. doi:10.5194/esd-3-245-2012
  7. Stroeve JC, Kattsov V, Barrett A, Serreze M, Pavlova T, Holland M, Meier WN (2012) Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations. Geophys Res Lett 39:L16502. doi:10.1029/2012GL052676
  8. Talley LD (1993) Distribution and formation of North Pacific Intermediate Water. J Phys Oceanogr 23:517-537. doi:10.1175/1520-0485(1993)023
  9. Talley LD, Nagata Y, Fujimura M, Iwao T, Kono T, Inagake D, Hirai M, Okuda K (1995) North Pacific Intermediate Water in the Kuroshio/Oyashio mixed water region. J Phys Oceanogr 25:475-501. doi:10.1175/1520-0485(1995)025
  10. Taylor KE, Stouffer RJ, Meehl GA (2009) A summary of the CMIP5 experiment design. http://cmip-pcmdi.llnl.gov/cmip5/docs/Taylor_CMIP5_design.pdf Accessed 1 Oct 2015
  11. Taylor KE, Stouffer RJ, Meehl GA (2012) An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. B Am Meteorol Soc 93(4):485-498. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1
  12. The HadGEM2 Development Team (2011) The HadGEM2 family of Met Office Unified Model climate configurations. Geosci Model Dev 4:723-757. doi:10.5194/gmd-4-723-2011
  13. Yasuda I (1997) The origin of the North Pacific Intermediate Water. J Geophys Res 102(C1):893-909. doi:10.1029/96JC02938
  14. Yasuda I, Okuda K, Shimizu Y (1996) Distribution and modification of North Pacific Intermediate Water in the Kuroshio-Oyashio interfrontal zone. J Phys Oceanogr 26:448-465 https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1996)026<0448:DAMONP>2.0.CO;2